Tuesday 27 January 2009

March 2009? It's Too Late

Action Now

We are told that Alistair Darling is considering further action to end the recession - to be included in his budget statement in March. Why wait until March? It is obvious that people need help, and jobs are needed, NOW.

There is no case for delay. There is much uncertainty about: one certainty is that it is impossible to give too much help to struggling people, or to create too many jobs.

The Banks

In dealing with the banking crisis the government has done only half a job. We all agree we need a banking system. But we need a system which serves the people, not bankers and shareholders.

The banks owned by the taxpayer – Bradford and Bingley, Northern Rock, Royal Bank of Scotland (along with the Post Office) must be converted to a People’s banking system.

Instead of state control through nationalisation, which the government does not like, these banks should be established as Mutual Societies. They would then be owned by their members, which was the position of Bradford and Bingley and Northern Rock before the stupid Thatcher policy allowed them to convert to banks.

In the re-organisation, the commercial bits of RBS should be separated from the domestic bits. It could then operate as a separate company to take the lead in implementing government policies for the commercial sector.

The message from anyone (which appears to include government ministers) opposed to these proposals is that such matters are best left to the capitalist financial markets: this position is obviously out of touch with reality.

Action on Unemployment and Poverty

Some government ministers have made vague noises about measures taken creating a fairer society, as well as ending the recession. This is not true in any significant sense of the measures taken so far. Vague statements about the borrowing being repaid from ‘government receipts in the upturn’ are not good enough.

The vagueness gives some creditability to the Tory’s claim that the borrowing is irresponsible. It is not the borrowing, so essential to ending the recession, that is irresponsible but the vagueness on repayment.

A package to stimulate the economy at the same time (now) as President Obama’s will be much more effective than waiting until March. It should be more ambitious than the November £20 Billion: a £100 Billion, at least, but with a convincing strategy on repayment.

The priorities for the £100 Billion are to:

(i) take at least one million out of income tax brackets and increase allowances, including pensions;

(ii) provide finance for local authorities to support families unable to pay their mortgages (either by offering easier mortgage repayments, or renting arrangements);

(iii) create jobs, especially in the sphere of green energy.



Repayment of the £100 Billion Borrowing

A convincing repayment strategy, over a 5 year period, is aim to acquire the finance from:

(i) cuts in defence expenditure, where £50 Billion could be found (including £20 Billion from abandoning Trident);

(ii) Progressively higher tax rates for incomes over £80,000, and measures to prevent tax avoidance;

(iii) Windfall taxes on excessive company profits and, again, steps to prevent tax avoidance.

It is only with a strategy along these lines that movement towards a fairer society will be convincing. Until such a strategy is launched voters will continue to believe that government is on the side of bankers, not the people.

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